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Intellect Verses Emotion

 

 

For years we have been telling our clients that investing involves a conflict between intellect and emotion.  When the markets are doing well you feel real good and your emotions say you want to get in on the good markets.  At the same time, your intellect tells you things are looking too good, be careful.  When the markets are doing poorly and news is bad, your intellect tells you that this is probably the time to be buying.  Unfortunately, your emotions are filled with doom and gloom and you are reluctant to jump into anything as long as the news is bad.

 

To be a successful investor you can’t let your emotions override your intellect.  While the concept seems pretty logical, it can be extremely difficult to put into practice.  Now there’s a scientific study which concludes we may have been right all along (probably funded by a government grant).  The study, published in June in the journal Psychological Science, was conducted by a team of researchers from Stanford University, Carnegie Melon University and the University of Iowa.

 

In this study of investors’ behavior 41 people with normal IQs were asked to play a simple investment game.  Fifteen people in the group had suffered lesions on the areas of the brain that affect emotions.  The result was that those with the brain damage outperformed those without.

 

The scientists found emotions led some of the group to avoid risks even when the potential benefits far outweighed the losses, a phenomenon known as myopic loss aversion.  One of the researchers, Antione Bechara, an associate professor of neurology at the University of Iowa, said the best stock market investors might plausibly be called “functional psychopaths.”

 

 

So when certain investment sectors are making headlines, such as right now with real estate, gold, oil, and gas and your emotions are telling you to get in on these hot markets, maybe it’s time to listen to your intellect.  Ask yourself: Is this a time to be cautious?  Have these markets had their run?  Will they be peaking in the near future?

 

 

If you feel you are not participating in those hot sectors and would like to learn more about a conservative strategy to do so, one that we use with many of our clients, just give us a call.

 

 

P.S. Our new office is moving along nicely.  Our target move in date is the middle of January.  If you know anyone interested in a good Broadway location or used office furniture and/or equipment, please have them contact Donna Walker at 884-7550.

 

 


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